The Numbers Are In (2025): Week 03 Recap

Kris Caballero • Sep 25, 2025 • 0 comments • Talkin' NFL

We're looking back and reviewing the action, both in betting and [fantasy] picks for Week 03 in the NFL. Some teams come in with an impressive 2-0 start, but you ilkely have guessed, that has changed. Lots could be said in terms of gameplay, but what about the numbers? What do they tell us? You're reading our very first post reviewing the numbers all over the NFL!

Bets that won were Point Spread—MIA +11.5), Total Points—MIA O 50.5, and MoneyLine—BUF -900.

One significant change that occurred for this game was the Money Line for Buffalo, shifting from -800 to -900. Big line shifts like that aren't anything new, but proved the big wagers and bets for Buffalo who ended up giving Miami their third loss of the season.

Going into Week 03, a handful of teams went in with a 2-0 record, while some were at 0-2. It may have been unanimous for some teams to jump on in undefeated, right? Let's check in the results and see what happen, including Monday Night Football:

Bets on Cleveland, by means of what we'll call the "Top 3," Money Line, Spread, and Total Points, all won. You'd think that despite the early struggles while facing a Jordan Love-led Packers would mean it'd be a clean sweep, right? Not with this game, and you can thank Andre Szmyt for the game-winning kick. Both Browns fans and bettors came away happy.

For those who bet on the side of Indianapolis, be it Point Spread, Total Points AND Money Line, won for this game. Serious question: Were the Titans even trying? In hockey, they'd call a three-goal score a "hat trick;" in this case that term can be applied for Jonathan Taylor scoring 3 touchdowns for this game. Fans won't need to throw their hats onto the field, but something tells us that a player scoring a "hat trick" in a game like this, almost always guarantees a win. Impressive game by the Colts this week.

Despite the blowout, Point Spread and Money Line won in this regard on the side of Minnesota; Total Points won on the side of Cincinnati. As for the game, the score at one point was 40-3; we're guessing that many fans didn't even have a chance to finish their meal(s) having seen that. With Joe Burrow out for this game, it looked like a cakewalk for the Vikings.

Good game all throughout, as both teams kept each other within distance in terms of score. Despite the Point Spread being at -1, Calvin Austin III's touchdown in the fourth, close to 2 minutes left, helped Steelers cover the spread. In addition to the Money Line, won on the side of Steelers, the final score of 21-14 meant it was under 44.5 thus having Patriots win. This was another great game on Sunday.

Tory Horton's 95-yard touchdown was the highlight of this game; absolutely impressive. The Saints fall to 0-3 and looked rather dry from the get-go. For the bets, Seattle won two out of the three: Point Spread and Money Line, while the Total Points went in favor of Nev Orleans. It's only a matter of time the Saints will seek their first win, their next matchup against Buffalo. We know Buffalo cleaned slate last week on Thursday Night, as there's a likelihood that they'll hand Saints their fourth loss. Nevertheless, this game was already in the books, including for bettors.

Another impressive game on Sunday featuring these two. Much like the Steelers-Patriots, this game was coming down to the wire, and the Chargers sealed the deal. For bettors of the Chargers also won on all three: Point Spread, Total Points and Money Line. We're not sure if such term has been used in American football, but a team winning the game, including their odds, is truly a Grand Slam. Mark this as another exciting game that took place on Sunday.

This game started slow, then picked up later with Cardinals scoring their first touchdown in the fourth quarter. As you saw, this was a field goal game. On the betting side, the gap was quite close between these two, resulting in a slight 'nail-biter.' Betting on the side of Arizona, per Point Spread, was the only section that won; the rest, Total Points and Money Line went to bettors of San Francisco. All in all, this was a great game, especially if you enjoy field goals.

Another nail-biter down to the wire; sealed the deal thanks to the blocked kick from Joshua Karty on behalf of Jordan Davis. Rams were solid throughout the game, until third quarter when things shifted in the way of Philadelphia. As for betting, LA had Total Points won, over 45.5, while Philadelphia took the cake on the other betting sections. Talk about a wild conclusion, but was a great game.

These great games keep on coming, and this one was no exception. What looked like a Jets win, thanks to a great block and a touchdown by Will McDonald IV, the Buccaneers regained and won the game. For the betting side, Money Line for the Buccaneers was the only section that won; the other two belonged to the Jets (congratulations to the 50+% bettors who won). Another great game coming down to the wire and a treat for Tampa Bay fans.

Riddled with interceptions, plus a solid defense, Carolina embarrassed the heck out of Atlanta. No more needs to be said after that final score. On the betting side, bets on Carolina won all three sections, marking this as the second game featuring a "Grand Slam"—a team that wins all odds plus the game itself. Nice work, Carolina and bettors.

One word: Sacked. Commanders dominated having sacked Geno Smith time and time again. As the game entered the second half, Raiders looked bleak almost looking like they gave up already, sans late scoring in the fourth. In terms of bets, those who bet on Point Spread and Money Line per Washington has won; Total Points won on the side of Las Vegas. Just another decent game, despite handing the Raiders their second loss thus far.

The final score may not be much, but this, too, came close to the wire. Like the Raiders, Jacksonville sought their quarterback Trevor Lawrence sacked multiple times. Nevertheless, it was a good game despite the low scoring. On the betting side, we have yet another "Grand Slam" in part of Jacksonville, whose bets won all three: Point Spread, Total Points, and Money Line. Not a speck of debris here: Jackonville gave Houston their third loss in a row.

We have another "Grand Slam" on the side of Chicago. Bettors on the side of Chicago won all three sections: Point Spread, Total Points and Money Line. As for the game, Cowboys grew stale going into the second half; even though Bears took care of business, it was interceptions that costed the Cowboys. Not too shabby of a game, but both fans and bettors came away with a nice "Grand Slam" win with this.

Both these teams playing on Sunday Night Football, coming in at a record 0-2. Perhaps some surprises were at play, but the defending champions took care of business. Not too bad as Kansas City, on the betting side, won under Point Spread and Money Line; betting on New York's side, via Total Points, was the only win. That's about it with this game.

Going in with records 1-1, Detroit handled business. Same can be said on the betting side, with Detroit winning all three sections. You guessed it: This was a "Grand Slam" for both fans and bettors. All those who rooted and/or placed bets on Detroit had a great Monday night.

NFL Week 3 Picks and Results Close
Game	Kris' Pick	Result
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills	Buffalo Bills	Correct
Green Bay Packers vs. Cleveland Browns	Green Bay Packers	Correct
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans	Tennessee Titans	Wrong
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Minnesota Vikings	Cincinnati Bengals	Wrong
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Correct
New Orleans Saints vs. Seattle Seahawks	New Orleans Saints	Wrong
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers	Los Angeles Chargers	Correct
Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers	Arizona Cardinals	Wrong
Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles	Los Angeles Rams	Wrong
New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Correct
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers	Carolina Panthers	Wrong
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders	Las Vegas Raiders	Wrong
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars	Jacksonville Jaguars	Correct
Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Correct
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants	New York Giants	Wrong
Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens	Detroit Lions	Correct
Kris' Results for Week 03
Ratio/Percent of Cerrect Picks	8/16	50%
Ratio/Percent of Incorrect Picks	8/16	50%

(These picks were placed personally on both Yahoo! Sports and MSN Sports.)

Interesting how fans, and bettors, pick the winner of games over at MSN Sports. We're not sure if it's team loyalty or just clicking for the heck of it. We say so since fans and bettors over at Yahoo! Sports seem to have more accurate picks. Still, that didn't stop us from participating. Mind you, the picks we made on Yahoo! Sports remained the same on MSN Sports.

Pardon us as we were late to the game, but given our picks, we didn't do too badly—first time doing this in years. However, here we are and look to jump on in the action to show how we did.

How did you do in Week 03? Are you locked in for Week 04? Let's talk about it in the comments below!

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