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The Numbers Are In (2025): Week 04 Recap

Week 04 checking the odds and stats on Yahoo! Sports app!

Week 04 will come down as the weirdest week in terms of results so far. Some of the most unlikely teams won, while some had their records broken. Sure, it would've eventually happened, despite being caught up in the thrill of it all, but other teams remain winless. What gives? Let's look at what the numbers say this week, as well as which teams hit, what we call, the "Grand Slam."

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals (Sep. 25, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Seattle Seahawks -1.5 O 43.5 -130 -1.5 O 43.5 (over) -125
Arizona Cardinals +1.5 U 43.5 +110 +1.5 U 43.5 (under) +105
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Seattle Seahawks 69% 71% 48% 72% 69% 50%
Arizona Cardinals 31% 29% 52% 28% 31% 50%
Public Money Seattle Seahawks 80% 87% 38% 77% 70% 43%
Arizona Cardinals 20% 13% 62% 23% 30% 57%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Seattle Seahawks 62% 61%
Arizona Cardinals 38% 39%
Total picks
20,296 27,827
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Seattle Seahawks 77%
Arizona Cardinals 23%
Box Score Seattle Seahawks 23
Arizona Cardinals 20

Despite Thursday Night Football drawing some low ratings, this game should have kicked it up a bit. This game came down to the wire, despite the struggles all throughout per Cardinals. The final field goal by the Seahawks sealed the deal; reflective of the odds made, per Money Line and Point Spread. Not too bad of a game, but that second half comeback by the Cardinals was a nice treat.

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Minnesota Vikings -2.5 O 41 -145 -2.5 O 41 -150
Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 U 41 +118 +2.5 U 41 +125
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Minnesota Vikings 62% 15% 41% 63% 22% 41%
Pittsburgh Steelers 38% 85% 59% 37% 78% 59%
Public Money Minnesota Vikings 48% 28% 38% 54% 38% 44%
Pittsburgh Steelers 53% 72% 62% 46% 63% 56%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Minnesota Vikings 46% 47%
Pittsburgh Steelers 54% 53%
Total picks
17,320 27,034
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Minnesota Vikings 51%
Pittsburgh Steelers 49%
Box Score Minnesota Vikings 21
Pittsburgh Steelers 24

Interceptions—the Vikings' favorite word for this game. Broadcasted from Dublin, Ireland, all was well with this game. While this game was close, albeit intentional grounding near the end, Irish residents were given a good one. For those who listened to this game on WestwoodOne Sports radio, Kate Scott announced this very game, making her the first female to call an NFL game. (Yes, we tune in and listen to sports radio, hoping in bringing more listeners.)

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Washington Commanders +2.5 O 43.5 +118 +2.5 O 43.5 +120
Atlanta Falcons -2.5 U 43.5 -140 -2.5 U 43.5 -145
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Washington Commanders 73% 83% 36% 64% 81% 38%
Atlanta Falcons 27% 17% 64% 36% 19% 62%
Public Money Washington Commanders 85% 76% 17% 54% 74% 31%
Atlanta Falcons 15% 24% 83% 46% 26% 69%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Washington Commanders 76% 70%
Atlanta Falcons 24% 30%
Total picks
12,175 19,163
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Washington Commanders 80%
Atlanta Falcons 20%
Box Score Washington Commanders 27
Atlanta Falcons 34

Despite the empty seats, Falcons came away with a great game. The best part about this game? The energy from the Falcons nearly every play; it made them fun to watch. On the betting side, Atlanta nearly got the "Grand Slam," only losing the Total Points. Besides that, another thing that made this game worth watching were the announcers. Great job, gentlemen!

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM New Orleans Saints +15.5 O 48 +1000 +14.5 O 48.5 +850
Buffalo Bills -15.5 U 48 -2000 -14.5 U 48.5 -1400
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet New Orleans Saints 4% 33% 30% 3% 30% 31%
Buffalo Bills 96% 67% 70% 97% 70% 69%
Public Money New Orleans Saints 7% 25% 24% 3% 20% 34%
Buffalo Bills 93% 75% 76% 97% 80% 66%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks New Orleans Saints 10% 12%
Buffalo Bills 90% 88%
Total picks
11,710 17,191
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks New Orleans Saints 6%
Buffalo Bills 96%
Box Score New Orleans Saints 19
Buffalo Bills 31

You can tell from the odds that this was a given. However, Bills did not get the "Grand Slam" as that would've been too easy of bets to make. New Orleans won via Point Spread and Total Points, while Bills won the Money Line. For the 30% who bet on Point Spread and Total Points came away with a great payout. The game itself wasn't too bad, though Saints held their own; much respect to them. Besides that, surprises came more on the betting side.

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Cleveland Browns +10 O 44.5 +400 +10 O 44.5 +450
Detroit Lions -10 U 44.5 +400 -10 U 44.5 -625
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Cleveland Browns 3% 69% 41% 2% 48% 33%
Detroit Lions 97% 31% 59% 90% 52% 67%
Public Money Cleveland Browns 3% 44% 33% 1% 32% 29%
Detroit Lions 97% 56% 67% 99% 68% 71%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Cleveland Browns 15% 16%
Detroit Lions 85% 84%
Total picks
13,037 19,632
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Cleveland Browns 14%
Detroit Lions 86%
Box Score Cleveland Browns 10
Detroit Lions 34

Game want well and was great. However, there were moments where the Browns stopped trying; it was a weird thing to see. Aside from that, it was another decent game. As you may have guessed, not only did Detroit come away with a win, they hit the "Grand Slam" too. Given they were the favorites for this game, bettors across all three sections won. Great job, Lions!

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Carolina Panthers +5.5 O 43 +200 +5.5 O 43 +200
New England Patriots -5.5 U 43 -250 -5.5 U 43 -250
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Carolina Panthers 15% 88% 32% 13% 75% 28%
New England Patriots 85% 12% 68% 87% 25% 72%
Public Money Carolina Panthers 30% 58% 21% 22% 67% 27%
New England Patriots 70% 42% 79% 78% 33% 73%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Carolina Panthers 31% 31%
New England Patriots 69% 69%
Total picks
11,193 16,737
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Carolina Panthers 39%
New England Patriots 61%
Box Score Carolina Panthers 13
New England Patriots 42

This was another game in the books—a blowout. On the betting side, New England nearly came away with a "Grand Slam," just shy if winning Total Points under 43. Nothing much, but this was an easy win for the Patriots, and bettors got theirs as well.

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 O 44 -300 -6 O 42.5 -275
New York Giants +6.5 U 44 +240 +6 U 42.5 +220
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Los Angeles Chargers 91% 38% 31% 93% 62% 31%
New York Giants 9% 62% 69% 7% 38% 69%
Public Money Los Angeles Chargers 96% 91% 37% 96% 84% 29%
New York Giants 4% 9% 63% 4% 16% 71%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Los Angeles Chargers 80% 75%
New York Giants 20% 25%
Total picks
11,508 17,276
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Los Angeles Chargers 83%
New York Giants 17%
Box Score Los Angeles Chargers 18
New York Giants 21

If brakets were a thing for NFL regular season, this game likely busted it. Chargers held their own, but struggled a bit on defense, leaving some doors open for Giants. After several seasons of struggle, this was a welcome relief for Giants fans. Better yet, on the betting side, Giants hit a "Grand Slam," winning all bets. How about that: Fans get a win, bettors won and saw huge profits in their winnings, as Giants came in as underdogs. Any game that perfectly defines a "Grand Slam," it would be this one. Excellent job by the Giants!

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 O 44 -190 +1.5 O 44.5 +105
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 U 44 +155 -1.5 U 44.5 -125
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Philadelphia Eagles 79% 20% 35% 81% 33% 37%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21% 80% 65% 19% 67% 63%
Public Money Philadelphia Eagles 80% 26% 33% 83% 33% 37%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20% 74% 67% 17% 67% 63%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Philadelphia Eagles 60% 58%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40% 42%
Total picks
13,627 20,811
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Philadelphia Eagles 64%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36%
Box Score Philadelphia Eagles 31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25

Buccaneers stuck around really well and nearly caught up. The game was good and fun to watch. As you may have guessed, Eagles were too much and won, including bets on all three sections. Despite being the favorites on Tampa Bay's turf, Eagles handled business as usual and currently remains undefeated. Impressive work!

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Tennessee Titans +7 O 38.5 +300 +7 O 39.5 +310
Houston Texans -7 U 38.5 -375 -7 U 39.5 -400
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Tennessee Titans 8% 79% 63% 6% 65% 46%
Houston Texans 92% 21% 37% 94% 35% 54%
Public Money Tennessee Titans 13% 84% 36% 6% 68% 37%
Houston Texans 87% 16% 64% 94% 32% 63%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Tennessee Titans 19% 20%
Houston Texans 81% 80%
Total picks
10,243 14,973
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Tennessee Titans 20%
Houston Texans 80%
Box Score Tennessee Titans 0
Houston Texans 26

Not one point from the Titans, leaving them dry in wins. While the game looked like two college football teams competing, Texans found a way and took advantage. On the betting side of things, it was no surprise. Houston landed the "Grand Slam" and took care of business. Texans also did so with sacks which helped them throughout the game. That's about it.

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Indianapolis Colts vs. Los Angeles Rams (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Indianapolis Colts +3.5 O 49.5 +155 +3.5 O 49.5 +155
Los Angeles Rams -3.5 U 49.5 -190 -3.5 U 49.5 -190
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Indianapolis Colts 16% 79% 40% 16% 54% 36%
Los Angeles Rams 84% 21% 60% 84% 46% 64%
Public Money Indianapolis Colts 34% 48% 69% 23% 53% 54%
Los Angeles Rams 66% 52% 31% 77% 47% 46%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Indianapolis Colts 39% 40%
Los Angeles Rams 61% 60%
Total picks
11,841 18,851
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Indianapolis Colts 52%
Los Angeles Ramns 48%
Box Score Indianapolis Colts 20
Los Angeles Ramns 27

Another game that we'd call the "bracket buster," if sports apps had one for regular season. Rams handed the Colts their first loss with great effort. If you're a Colts fan, remember his name: Adonai Mitchell. There's more than enough compilation videos online showing what happens when you celebrate too soon; it costed Indianapolis a touchdown. Despite Rams being the favorite, they hit a "Grand Slam" with this one. Incredible game!

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 O 46.5 +155 -3 O 45.5 +145
San Francisco 49ers -3.5 U 46.5 -190 -3 U 45.5 -175
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Jacksonville Jaguars 15% 79% 22% 13% 64% 28%
San Francisco 49ers 85% 21% 78% 87% 36% 72%
Public Money Jacksonville Jaguars 29% 72% 30% 16% 60% 27%
San Francisco 49ers 71% 28% 70% 84% 40% 73%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Jacksonville Jaguars 23% 24%
San Francisco 49ers 77% 76%
Total picks
13,289 20,587
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Jacksonville Jaguars 30%
San Francisco 49ers 70%
Box Score Jacksonville Jaguars 26
San Francisco 49ers 21

Here's another game that would've busted brackets. Amazing effort by Travis Etienne Jr. and Parker Washington for the Jaguars. San Francisco had this game under control until some errors beginning of the second half, giving Jaguars an advantage. Although Jaguars missed a field goal late in the fourth, San Francisco were not able to catch up. On the betting side, Jaguars hit a "Grand Slam" with all three sections winning. A team that's an underdog, wins the game and all bets? Sounds ilke a "home run" to us.

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Baltimore Ravens -2.5 O 48.5 -150 -2.5 O 48.5 -150
Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 U 48.5 +125 +2.5 U 48.5 +125
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Baltimore Ravens 67% 16% 27% 68% 40% 31%
Kansas City Chiefs 33% 84% 73% 32% 60% 69%
Public Money Baltimore Ravens 72% 28% 31% 72% 35% 51%
Kansas City Chiefs 28% 72% 69% 28% 65% 49%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Baltimore Ravens 60% 57%
Kansas City Chiefs 40% 43%
Total picks
13,249 21,583
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Baltimore Ravens 62%
Kansas City Chiefs 38%
Box Score Baltimore Ravens 20
Kansas City Chiefs 37

The Chiefs look like how they were winning last season's Super Bowl. Nothing too much except Kansas City also winning the betting side except Total Points. Other than that, it was a decent game, making the Chiefs a likely threat going forward.

SUNDAY FOOTBALL: Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Chicago Bears +1 O 47.5 -110 +1.5 O 48 +105
Las Vegas Raiders -1 U 47.5 -110 -1.5 U 48 -125
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Chicago Bears 57% 29% 30% 57% 62% 28%
Las Vegas Raiders 43% 71% 70% 43% 38% 72%
Public Money Chicago Bears 90% 33% 34% 66% 59% 37%
Las Vegas Raiders 10% 67% 66% 34% 41% 63%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Chicago Bears 60% 57%
Las Vegas Raiders 40% 43%
Total picks
12,730 20,362
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Chicago Bears 60%
Las Vegas Raiders 40%
Box Score Chicago Bears 25
Las Vegas Raiders 24

In spite of the struggles, Chicago held on with this game. Three words: Blocked field goal. Being underdogs, Bears hit the "Grand Slam, with this one. As for Raiders, Hope is the only way. It's still been quiet on the Raiders' front, with who-knows-what kind of improvements forthcoming. Could it be a sign—that Chicago is making the Raiders' stock look "Bear-ish?"

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys (Sep. 28, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Green Bay Packers -7 O 47.5 -350 -6.5 O 47 -350
Dallas Cowboys +7 U 47.5 +280 +6.5 U 47 +275
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Green Bay Packers 91% 60% 35% 90% 77% 33%
Dallas Cowboys 9% 40% 65% 10% 23% 67%
Public Money Green Bay Packers 93% 89% 35% 80% 83% 46%
Dallas Cowboys 7% 11% 65% 20% 17% 54%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Green Bay Packers 72% 66%
Dallas Cowboys 28% 34%
Total picks
14,222 28,629
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Green Bay Packers 71%
Dallas Cowboys 29%
Box Score Green Bay Packers 40
Dallas Cowboys 40

This was quite a Sunday Night treat, resulting in stalemate thanks to the game-tying field goal from Green Bay. For the betting, Money Line showed no wins and no loss due to the tie. All betting aside, this was a fun game to watch, or listen for those tuned in the radio broadcast. While neither team came away with a win, this was a great game.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins (Sep. 29, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM New York Jets +2.5 O 45 +125 +2.5 O 44 +135
Miami Dolphins -2.5 U 45 -150 -2.5 U 44 -160
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet New York Jets 25% 53% 39% 24% 47% 41%
Miami Dolphins 75% 47% 61% 76% 53% 59%
Public Money New York Jets 33% 43% 43% 38% 46% 45%
Miami Dolphins 67% 57% 57% 62% 54% 55%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks New York Jets 35% 37%
Miami Dolphins 65% 63%
Total picks
10,304 25,397
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks New York Jets 41%
Miami Dolphins 59%
Box Score New York Jets 21
Miami Dolphins 27

Much like the Titans-Texans game, someone had to come away with a win. Dolphins took care of business, even though the Jets looked solid. On the betting side, Dolphins won majority, namely Money Line and Point Spread. Not too bad of a Monday Night, but glad one team got their first win.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos (Sep. 29, 2025)
Source
Team
On Open
On Close
BetMGM Cincinnati Bengals +7.5 O 44 +310 +7.5 O 44.5 +380
Denver Broncos -7.5 U 44 -400 -7.5 U 44.5 -500
By the Public
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
MoneyLine
Spread
Total Points
Public Bet Cincinnati Bengals 5% 40% 34% 7% 32% 40%
Denver Broncos 95% 60% 66% 93% 68% 60%
Public Money Cincinnati Bengals 2% 28% 37% 23% 23% 61%
Denver Broncos 98% 72% 63% 77% 77% 39%
Yahoo! Sports: Pick Your Winner picks Cincinnati Bengals 25% 28%
Denver Broncos 75% 72%
Total picks
11,046 25,719
MSN Sports: Pick the Winner picks Cincinnati Bengals 34%
Denver Broncos 66%
Box Score Cincinnati Bengals 3
Denver Broncos 28

Broncos were too much in this game. Bengals have looked dry after losing Joe Burrow to injury. Denver, in terms of betting, hit the "Grand Slam" easily. What more is there to say?

Kris Caballero's Team Picks
NFL Week 4 Picks and Results Close
Game Kris' Pick Result
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks Correct
Minnesota Vikings vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers Correct
Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons Washington Commanders Wrong
New Orleans Saints vs. Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Correct
Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions Detroit Lions Correct
Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots Carolina Panthers Wrong
Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Giants Los Angeles Chargers Wrong
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers Wrong
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Houston Texans Correct
Indianapolis Colts vs. Los Angeles Rams Indianapolis Colts Wrong
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers Wrong
Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs Baltimore Ravens Wrong
Chicago Bears vs. Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders Wrong
Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys Tie
New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins New York Jets Wrong
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos Denver Bronco Correct
Kris' Results for Week 04
Ratio/Percent of Cerrect Picks 6/15 (1 game omitted due to tie) 40%
Ratio/Percent of Incorrect Picks 9/15 (1 game omitted due to tie) 60%

(These picks were placed personally on both Yahoo! Sports and MSN Sports.)

THOUGHTS AND REFLECTIONS ON WEEK 04

Week 04 was rough it terms of picks. You can see that some of the teams that were assumed to go undefeated, lost as a result. However, a whopping seven (7) teams hit the "Grand Slam," impressing both fans and bettors. For those new here on our website, we say "Grand Slam" for a team that wins three sections of betting—Money Line, Point Spread and Total Points—plus the game itself. In other words, teams with the "Grand Slam" hit all those betting sections, along with winning in general.

You can tell from the picks that there are some biases—having picked Raiders twice, so far, for example; while some picks were chosen against the popular pick, such as choosing Colts over Rams. Then you got some surprises, like Jaguars downing the 49ers; and some were a toss-up due to their team record, such as Titans-Texans. In other words, it was a topsy-turvy result, and our picks performed worse than Week 03. We're guessing bettors likely felt some pinches on behalf of bets due to the "Grand Slam" hit by some unlikely teams. Nevertheless, as mentioned earlier, had a bracket been presented to fans, we'd have seen some busted this week.

How were your picks/bets on Week 04? Did your fantasy team(s) did better than the games themselves? Let's talk about it in the comments section below!

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